Service Plays Thursday 6/17/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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Thank you, wilheim




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[ugk]

NBA NEWS AND NOTES
Game Of The Day: Celtics At Lakers
By Matt Fargo


Boston Celtics at Los Angeles Lakers (-7, 187)

The Numbers

The Lakers are set as 7-point favorites for Game 7of the NBA Finals. Game 6's closing line was Los Angeles -6 and this game opened at -6.5, so the number is being shaded toward the favorite. The total is at 187, which is the lowest number in this series and for good reason. The under is 5-1-1 and in some cases 6-1 with four straight coming in.

Another Blowout?

For a series that has gone the distance, it hasn’t been very entertaining.

The smallest margin of victory has been seven points - a 96-89 Boston win in Game 5 - while the average margin of victory has been 10.7 points per game. You would think that the finals would produce more close finishes and important last-second possessions, but that has not been the case.

What does this mean for Game 7?

It means we are overdue for a fantastic finish. The entire 2010 playoffs owe us as from the start, as it has been pretty much a dud. Who knows if we will actually get it but if you like playing the odds of it happening, you have to like the Celtics to bounce back from a dreadful Game 6.

Looking purely at probabilities, Boston has a 75 percent chance of covering based on the four different outcomes that can take place. If we do see a blowout, the Lakers or Celtics can be on the winning side, therefore a split cover. Should we see a close game, the Lakers or Celtics can again be on the winning side outright but the Celtics would cover in both instances.

Rebounding

When it comes to winning basketball games, any number of factors comes into play such as shooting, turnovers and free throws. In this series, the biggest factor has been rebounding.

The winning team has had the edge on the glass in all six games so far. The average margin of the boards per game is 7.1, so it is safe to say who wins the battle of the boards in Game 7 will be the NBA champion.

If only it were that easy. The issue now is injuries. The Lakers have had a hobbled Andrew Bynum throughout the series, so the inside advantage they were thought to have heading in ended up being negated. The Celtics have their own problems now that Kendrick Perkins sprained his knee in Game 6 and is doubtful for the season finale.

“He’s a guy that cleans the paint up, let’s say, and not having him there made the Lakers awful long,” Celtics head coach Doc Rivers told reporters. “He's one of our guys that I think gives us great spirit, gives us a lot of toughness and size. You know, I hope he can play. It would be tough if he can't.”

Game 7 History Lesson

Only 16 previous NBA Finals have gone to a decisive Game 7 and it has happened only three times since the Lakers and Celtics went the distance in 1984.

Home-court advantage is obviously big now when it comes to the decisive game and history definitely proves that. Overall, the home team has won 13 of 16 Game 7s in the NBA Finals. Tightening that up, since the 2-3-2 playoff format of the NBA Finals was instituted in 1985, there have been three Game 7s and the home team has won all three.

Those three wins were by an average of only 5.3 points per game.

While players and coaches will be treating this game like all others, it is not the same and there are some big names that have never experienced this. This is the first NBA Finals Game 7 for Kobe Bryant and Derek Fisher, who have played in 393 combined playoff games. Maybe most surprising, neither has Phil Jackson, who has coached in 322 postseason games and won 10 championships.

The 2010 Finals will be the fifth Lakers-Celtics series to go seven games and in the previous four instances, the Celtics have beaten the Lakers by an average of just four points a game.

Kobe’s Legacy

Kobe Bryant is a future Hall of Famer and one of the greatest players to ever step on an NBA floor. This Game 7 could go a long way in determining exactly where he ranks.

As mentioned, he has never played in Game 7 in the NBA Finals. But neither did Michael Jordan. Therefore, winning a championship in a decisive Game 7 will give Bryant an additional stat that Jordan does not have on his résumé. A win would also give Bryant his fifth NBA title, tying him with Magic Johnson and trailing Jordan by only one.

Should the Lakers lose, Bryant will have gone down three times compared to Jordan having never lost when going to the NBA Finals. It many not seem like much but it is a pretty big difference and one that Bryant will be compared to forever.

While this game will determine where Bryant currently ranks among the best ever, he isn’t taking it any different.

“It's no different to me,” he told the media. “I don't mean to be a buzz kill, but it's not. I know what's at stake but I'm not tripping. It's a game we've got to win, simple as that. I'm not going crazy over it.”

Trends

- The Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss.
- The Lakers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS win.
- The Over is 13-6 in the Celtics last 19 games following a double-digit loss.
- The Over is 7-2-2 in the Lakers last 11 games following a straight up win.
- The Celtics are 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings.

 

[ugk]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Thursday's Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers Staff


Streaking

Dan Haren, Arizona Diamondbacks

After a strong beginning of the season 4-1, Heron went through a 1-3 stretch before finally heating up in his last two starts. His last outing was a six-hit, two-run gem against the Cardinals.

The big thing working against him Thursday in Boston is he won't be able to help his own cause. Under AL rules if the pitcher is in the starting lineup as a hitter, the designated hitter cannot be used when he comes out of the game. Too bad; Haren leads the league among pitchers with 17 hits, six doubles and a .425 batting average.

"I'd much rather have a position player up there rather than myself. My job is on the mound, obviously," Haren told Yahoo Sports. "The hits have come pretty easy. Pitching hasn't exactly been that way. It's been kind of reversed."

At least until lately. Luckily for the right-hander, the Red Sox have been punishing lefties.

Andy Pettitte, New York Yankees

Pettitte is 3-0 with a 2.10 ERA over his last four starts and has not allowed more than two earned runs during that span. The no-decision may have been his best outing of the bunch.

Pettitte struck out 10 and allowed just five hits in 7 2/3 innings but came out the hard-luck 3-2 loser to the Blue Jays. He bounced back by beating his former team, the Astros, for his 200th career win.

"It’s like facing an older brother in Wiffle Ball," ex-teammate Lance Berkman said after the game. "You’re torn because you want to do well, but you don’t want to hurt him. But then he puts his glove over his face and it’s like facing Darth Vader."

The force should be with Pettitte against the Phillies, whom he went 2-0 against last season. The Phils are batting just .220 against lefties in their last 10.

Slumping

Randy Wells, Chicago Cubs

After starting the season 3-0, Wells hasn't won a game since April 30 and appears to be getting farther, not closer, to getting one.

Wells was shelled in his last outing against the crosstown rival White Sox to the tune of 10 hits and five earned runs in five innings. He gave up four straight hits in the first inning, sparking rumors that he had been out celebrating with the Stanley Cup champion Chicago Blackhawks the night before the day game.

One problem with that theory; Wells has been getting rocked for more than a month and not even hockey players can party that long. Wells is 0-5 with a 6.47 ERA over his last eight starts.

"I'm not exactly beaming with confidence right now," Wells told the Chicago Tribune after his last outing. "I got roughed up a little, the ERA ballooned up, I'm not winning games. My approach is the same - I go out and be aggressive and throw strikes and hopefully good things happen. I think I need to tinker with some stuff, I think I need to make some adjustments and get back to basics and find the edge that will get me back on track."
Midseason is not the best time to be tinkering, especially in a hitters' park like Wrigley.

James Shields, Tampa Bay Rays

Shields got off to a 5-1 start to the season and has gotten progressively worse over the past month, dropping four straight and getting clobbered by the Marlins in his last outing.

The Rays ace looked like anything but in that game, giving up nine hits and 10 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings and calling it "probably the worst outing of my career."

"I need to do something," Shields added. "It's unacceptable the way I'm pitching right now. I'm letting my team down and not giving them a chance to win."

The added pressure probably won't help against the Braves.

Dallas Braden, Oakland A's

It didn't take long for Braden to go from perfection to perfunctory.
Since his perfect game against the Rays on May 9, Braden is 0-4 in his last six starts. In his last outing against the Angels he was rocked for 11 hits and five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings - the fifth straight start that lasted six innings or less.

"I want the ball. I want to stay in," Braden said. "Anytime I'm in that situation, I'm confident I can get outs. I always want to go deep."
Unfortunately for him, it's opposing batters that have been going deep for the past month. He's given up five homers during his current winless streak, more than he allowed all season.

Braden had an MRI earlier this week that revealed tendinitis in his left elbow but he is still expected to start. The big question is how long he will last.

 

[ugk]

HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

Chicago White Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates (+127, 7.5)

Interleague play couldn't come soon enough for the White Sox, who are 21-8 in their last 29 games against the NL. It helps that the last six have come against the Cubs and Pirates.

Despite their slow start to the season, the Chi-Sox have won six of their last eight and are starting to come together as a team. The starting rotation has been providing quality innings and the offense is starting to click.

"There are a lot of things that still can happen," said Sox center fielder Alex Rios, who’s hitting .322. "We haven’t quit and we’re not going to."

Not exactly the mantra of the Pirates, who have lost nine in a row and are already showing signs of throwing in the towel. They send a winless Ross Ohlendorf to the mound Thursday.

This game features easy Bucs in more ways than one.

Pick: Chicago White Sox


Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds (+110, 8.5)

The Dodgers-Reds series so far this season sounds more like a Raiders-Bengals matchup. Entering Wednesday night's game, the first four results yielded football-esque scores of 11-9, 14-6, 8-5 and 12-0.

All four went OVER, of course, but oddsmakers still aren't giving much credence to the offensive fireworks displayed in those contests, maybe because neither of today's pitchers were involved in them.

John Ely gets the ball for the Dodgers after scheduled starter Chad Billingsley begrudgingly went on the 15-day DL with a strained groin. A recent day off keeps Ely on a five-day rotation but an extra day would have been nice before facing the Reds, who have seen six straight games go over the total.

The Dodgers have been in some high-scoring affairs as well, with eight of their last 10 going over the total. Cincy's Bronson Arroyo has been hammered for 22 hits and 14 earned runs in his last three starts.

Pick: Over

 

[ugk]

WNBA NEWS AND NOTES
Storm-Fever Preview
By Alan Ferguson


To add to their best start in franchise history, the Seattle Storm will have to endure a grueling four-day stretch that begins with a trip to face the WNBA’s best defensive team in the Indiana Fever.

In the first game of their nearly 5,000-mile journey Thursday night, the Storm will try to earn a sixth consecutive victory and help Brian Agler become the eighth coach in league history to reach 100 wins.

The Storm (9-1) have played once in the past 10 days, an 82-60 home win over Los Angeles on Friday night, but their schedule gets much busier as this week concludes. After taking on the Fever, Seattle plays in New York on Friday night before hosting San Antonio on Sunday night

“It will be a good challenge for us,” guard Sue Bird told the Storm’s official website. “It’s two of the better teams in the East right now, on their home court. I’m definitely looking forward to it.”

The Storm have forged the WNBA’s best record with nearly five players averaging in double figures, led by Lauren Jackson’s 20.4 points, and they’ve scored 86.4 per game during their five consecutive wins.

The Storm are also giving up an average of 72.9 points on 41.1 percent shooting, good for second-best in the WNBA in both categories.

Indiana, though, is allowing 69.8 points per game on 39.9 percent shooting and has given up an average of 66.8 points while winning four of five this month.

The Fever (6-4) matched their season high for points allowed and blew a fourth-quarter lead in Friday night’s 86-77 loss in Connecticut but thwarted another Sun comeback two days later in a 77-67 win at Conseco Fieldhouse.

While winning its fourth straight at home, Indiana limited Connecticut to 36.1 percent shooting but saw an 18-point lead evaporate with 7:04 remaining. Tamika Catchings responded by scoring 12 of her team’s final 17 points.

“It was just a matter of having that will power like we’re not going to lose,” Catchings said.

The forward, scoring a team-leading 16.9 points per game, has averaged 10.3 points on 26.0 percent shooting over her last three games against the Storm.

She missed 10 of 12 attempts in last season’s home matchup with Seattle but was 9 of 12 from the free-throw line and scored 14 points in a 73-66 win. Katie Douglas, averaging 17.6 points and shooting 50.8 percent this month, had a team-best 20.

Seattle hasn’t won six in a row since Aug. 18-Sept. 1, which included a 74-60 home victory over Indiana. The Storm, though, have dropped four of five at Indiana since 2004.

 

[ugk]

SOCCER NEWS AND NOTES
What Bettors Need To Know: France vs. Mexico
By Covers Staff


France (-109) vs. Mexico (+250, 2.5)

What’s On The Line?

Both teams drew in their first match, which means each is looking for a win to try and secure a spot past the group stage. France failed to score in a 0-0 final against Uruguay while Mexico notched a goal in the final 11 minutes of the second half to escape with a 1-1 draw against the host South Africans.

Les Bleus Singing The Blues

Skepticism and doubt were surrounding France entering the World Cup. The draw against Uruguay did little to silence the critics. The 2006 World Cup runner up barely qualified for the 2010 tournament (thanks to a Thierry Henry handball not called against Ireland) and France have been equally unimpressive in their World Cup warmups.

The center of storm seems to be on France’s coach Raymond Domenech. He made odd decisions with his final selections for his roster, leaving creative midfielder Samir Nasri and young striker Karim Benzeman off the squad.

Domenech, who France has already said won’t be coaching the national team beyond this year’s World Cup, made Patrice Evra the team captain following Henry’s move to a substitute role.

Rumor has it that Evra’s selection peeved longer serving France players like William Gallas. This is just one of many squabbles supposedly going on in the French camp.

"They didn't play together and it was more a case of individual efforts," Zinedine Zidane, retired French footballer and the Golden Ball winner of the 2006 World Cup, told reporters following France’s match against Uruguay. "The players must take responsibility for themselves, move themselves. You have to be straight with each other."

"(Domenech) is not a coach. He picked his squad and he has to make them play together. You must put your ego to one side and work together. Teamwork is the most important thing, and that's not what we saw during the [Uruguay] match."

France winger Florent Malouda summed up the situation best: "Football is simple. You have to win matches, and once you win matches everyone is beautiful and the best friends in the world. As soon as results become more difficult, you see stories appearing left and right. The only answer is to win games and then everyone will be smiling at you."

Mixed Emotions

Mexico enter Thursday’s match confident but also wary of France’s potential.

“We know the power they have, the quality they have and at any time they can change everything,” defensive midfielder Rafael Marquez told reporters. “They are great players with great qualities and we cannot trust that you have not scored yet because we know they have the quality to do it.”

And while El Tri don’t have the star power of les Bleus, they’re confident they can get the best of the favored side.

"They have their names, we have ours. But names don't play, men do," Mexico captain Gerardo Torrado told the Associated Press. "Nothing short of a win is good for us."

Lineup Changes And Injury Notes

There was a concern that Marquez, who scored the tying goal for Mexico against South Africa, wouldn’t be available for his team’s match because of injury. But the Barcelona international quieted those worries earlier this week.

"I'm fine now ... at 100 percent," he said. "I've had trouble with the calf and against South Africa I even was thinking of being taken off, but I've been able to recover over the past few days."

France are considering switching from a 4-3-3 attacking formation they used in the tournament opener back to their usual 4-2-3-1 setup. There’s talk Malouda will join Franck Ribery and Yoann Gourcuff among the attacking midfielders with Abou Diay and Jeremy Toulalan playing behind the trio.

Mexico coach Javier Aguirre could make some changes with his starting forward personnel but he won’t drop the three-attacker formation against France.

"It's what has brought us here and we're not going to change," Aguirre said. "Yes, we do leave a lot of space at the back, but we're going to continue this way."

 

[ugk]

<table width="100%"><tbody><tr><td width="100%">KICKS 'N' PICKS

Thursday's Best World Cup Bets

Argentina (-277) vs. South Korea (+550, 2.5)

Those who have complained about the World Cup being too boring with little to no scoring in most matches should tune into this match between Argentina and South Korea.

South Korea surprised soccer fans with a 2-0 beating of Greece in the opening of group play, putting six shots on goal while sailing five others just wide. Argentina won a 1-0 decision over Nigeria in their Group B opener, outshooting their foes 7-1.

Argentina manager and soccer legend Diego Maradona likes the matchup with South Korea better than his opener and expects more of a finesse game Thursday.

"South Korea ... is very fast, they have a good team, they're respectable, but we are going to play to win," Maradona told reporters. "Every time we crashed against a Nigerian player, it was like crashing into a wall. Against a South Korean it's a more even contest."

Maradona also expects to see more scoring across the entire tournament as teams settle down and get more tape of their upcoming opponents, which makes the over for Thursday’s game tempting.

"The World Cup is something incredible and I'm not worried about the lack of goals. The goals will come and there are players here to make that happen," Maradona said. "Of course, in the first matches one is more careful than maybe one should be. The teams are studying their opponents, which is why there are fewer goals."

Pick: Over 2.5


Nigeria (-133) vs Greece (+282, 2.5)

Nigeria played the mighty Argentines tough in the opening game of Group B play, falling 1-0 last Sunday.

A big part of that near upset was goalkeeper Vincent Enyeama, who turned away six of seven shots faced – four from Lionel Messi - and won Man of the Match honors.

"It would be my best possible performance playing against the best possible player in the world, so it was my best," Enyeama told the media.

His performance in the opener has garnered the attention of Premiership squad West Ham, which has expressed interest in signing Enyeama. He carries this momentum into Thursday against a Greece squad that was embarrassed by South Korea, losing 2-0 in the group opener.

“There is no way we will lose, (and) getting a point will not be good enough,” Enyeama told reporters.

Pick: Nigeria -133 </td> <td valign="top"> <!-- BEGIN ad 9404306 --><!-- END ad 9404306 -->
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> <!-- / message --> <!-- controls -->

 

[ugk]

KING CREOLE

NBA Sides Thu, 06/17/10 - 9:05 PM

triple-dime bet 714 LAL -7.0 (-110) Sportbet vs 713 BOS
Analysis:
Thursday, June 17th / Round Four / Game Seven / 9:00pm ET
Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers
3** BEST BET on: LOS ANGELES LAKERS minus the points

 

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MARC LAWRENCE

NBA Sides Thu, 06/17/10 - 9:05 PM

triple-dime bet 714 LAL -7.0 (-110) BetUS vs 713 BOS
Analysis: Play On: L.A. Lakers (Game 714)

We recommend a 3-unit play on the Lakers.

 

[ugk]

BIG AL MCMORDIE

Boston Celtics

 

[ugk]

BEN BURNS

10* triple-dime bet 714 LA Lakers -7.0 (-110)

 

[ugk]

HAMMERtheBOOK
NBA FINALS GAME #7

4-UNITS LA LAKERS -7
4-UNITS LA LAKERS UNDER-187

 

[ugk]

MIKE HOOK
BIGGEST GOLF WAGER OF THE YEAR

TIGER OVER 68.5 at (-150)
Tiger Woods First Round Bogeys @ The 2010 US Open Championship (Double Bogey or worse equal one Bogey) - June 17th @ 10:10 am EST
Woods OVER 1.5 BOGIES OR WORSE -138
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jim Furyk to finish in the Top 20 +120
Luke Donald to finish in the Top 20 +130
PHIL MICKELSON: 7-1. I'd wait to make a wager on this, but he's playing too strong right now. I had to lock in 7-1. Small.
LUKE DONALD: 33-1. Been talking about him all week long.
BEN CRANE: 60-1. If you don't have multiple books, you can't line shop. It's a must.
NICK WATNEY: 66-1. Love this selection. Again, think he's primed to be the next Lucas Glover
RYAN MOORE: 90-1.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
I've also got Top 10 wagers on these players:
HEATH SLOCUM +900
GRAEME MCDOWELL +600
MATT KUCHAR +600
KEVIN NA +1400
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
My 2 favorite Player Props for the Week. I went large on these two.
JIM FURYK TO FINISH 20th or BETTER +120
LUKE DONALD TO FINISH 20th or BETTER +130
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tournament Head to Heads playing small:
PHIL MICKELSON -140 Tiger Woods
BEN CRANE -115 Sean O'Hair
ZACH JOHNSON -115 Ian Poulter

 

[ugk]

JIMMY MOORE

Sport: NBA
Game: Boston @ L A Lakers
Date/Time: 6/17/2010 9:05PM EST

4* UNDER 187

Reason: Jimmy is thanking everyone for a successful NBA season by giving away a 4* rated winner in game 7 of the Finals. With this game being for the all the marbles both teams will be focused on defense and nobody will be giving up any easy baskets. This has been an under series and this will be the last chance to win on the under

 

[ugk]

RW SPORTS 49-52-13 (1-3)

greece - nigeria, 1st half draw, 2.05 @ bodog

greece - nigeria, nigeria, 2.05 @ 5dimes

argentina - south korea, over 2 goals, 1.75 @ pinnacle

france - mexico, 1st half draw, 2.05 @ bodog

france - mexico, over 1.75 goals, 1.89 @ pinnacle

 

[ugk]

USA SPORTS CONSULTING

2 UNIT Cleveland (J.Westbrook) -113 hosting NY Mets (R.****ey)

 

[ugk]

BASEBALL CRUSHER
PLAY OF THE DAY

Boston Red Sox -150 over the Arizona Dbacks

 

[ugk]

COMPPICKS

NBA
Celtics +7
Celtics/Lakers OVER 187

MLB
Tigers -1.5 (+105)
Twins (+105)
Yankees -1.5 (+100)
Red Sox -1.5 (+140)

Comppick (free pick)
Reds -105

 

[ugk]

NY PLAYERS CLUB
4* Greece and Nigeria UNDER 2 goals
1* Mexico +245 over France

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">DCI

Season
Straight Up: 869-378 (.697)
ATS: 664-621 (.517)
ATS Vary Units: 1594-1499 (.515)
Over/Under: 636-656 (.492)
Over/Under Vary Units: 824-860 (.489)

NBA Playoffs, Finals
Game 7, best-of-7 series
L.A. LAKERS 98, Boston 93
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>